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Qual 482016 Midwest Regional
Red77
623723.7
178123.1
215120.8
Blue54
313528.0
369528.4
213618.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657640601001207754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6237
#26
23.71.3
21.0→22.4
Auto6.6
Teleop13.3
End3.8
blue by 4.7
3695
#25
28.42.6
29.7→27.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
1781
#27
23.10.8
23.2→24.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
blue by 4.9
3135
#23
28.02.6
25.6→23.0
Auto4.1
Teleop19.5
End4.3
Third
2151
#11
20.81.3
21.0→22.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 2.6
2136
#48
18.32.6
17.2→14.6
Auto2.6
Teleop13.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed