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Qual 522016 Midwest Regional
Red111
593421.3
93129.4
414343.1
Blue65
272516.8
348827.7
270420.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8858020408010012014011165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#5
43.12.0
37.9→39.9
Auto12.6
Teleop25.0
End5.5
red by 15.4
3488
#12
27.70.4
23.2→23.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End5.8
Second
931
#17
29.42.0
27.6→29.6
Auto8.3
Teleop16.7
End4.4
red by 9.2
2704
#22
20.20.3
21.1→21.4
Auto2.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
Third
5934
#39
21.33.3
15.8→19.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End2.7
red by 4.5
2725
#42
16.80.4
16.8→17.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed