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Red90
369528.4
306131.5
162542.1
Blue57
478719.5
419123.4
31109.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116370501001509057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.7
40.239.5
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
red by 18.7
4191
#36
23.41.0
18.519.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Second
31.50.7
33.432.7
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 12.0
4787
#46
19.50.6
18.419.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Third
3695
#25
28.41.2
27.125.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
red by 18.9
3110
#52
9.51.0
10.911.9
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed