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Qual 562016 Midwest Regional
Red60
467613.7
465529.1
623723.7
Blue108
306726.8
414343.1
278127.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6391020408010012014016060108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#24
29.10.3
29.3→28.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End4.4
blue by 14.0
4143
#5
43.11.6
39.9→41.5
Auto12.6
Teleop25.0
End5.5
Second
6237
#26
23.70.6
22.4→21.8
Auto6.6
Teleop13.3
End3.8
blue by 3.3
2781
#16
27.02.6
21.4→24.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.0
End5.6
Third
4676
#43
13.70.6
13.5→13.0
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
blue by 13.0
3067
#38
26.81.6
23.1→24.7
Auto9.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned