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Qual 572016 Midwest Regional
Red100
206240.2
178123.1
348827.7
Blue79
432929.1
185015.6
11144.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928420406010012014016010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#8
40.20.2
40.5→40.3
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
blue by 4.4
111
#2
44.50.3
40.5→40.3
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
3488
#12
27.70.3
23.6→23.3
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End5.8
blue by 1.4
4329
#9
29.10.3
24.8→24.6
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
1781
#27
23.10.2
24.0→23.8
Auto4.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
red by 7.5
1850
#47
15.60.4
17.6→17.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed