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Red114
173647.5
270420.2
313528.0
Blue71
470211.1
37943.4
272516.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996205015011471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.6
46.047.6
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
red by 4.1
379
#18
43.40.4
41.141.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
Second
3135
#23
28.02.6
23.025.6
Auto4.1
Teleop19.5
End4.3
red by 11.2
2725
#42
16.80.6
17.217.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
2704
#22
20.21.6
21.423.0
Auto2.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
red by 9.1
4702
#51
11.10.6
7.07.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed