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Qual 602016 Midwest Regional
Red65
429623.5
535014.9
584731.3
Blue76
37525.2
213618.3
464529.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737450607080906576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#10
31.30.4
32.1→31.7
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End4.3
red by 2.0
4645
#33
29.40.3
30.4→30.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Second
4296
#50
23.50.4
25.1→24.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End3.2
blue by 1.6
375
#32
25.20.3
26.7→27.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.0
Third
5350
#49
14.90.7
13.7→13.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 3.4
2136
#48
18.30.5
14.6→15.0
Auto2.6
Teleop13.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed