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Qual 62016 Midwest Regional
Red94
11144.5
37525.2
215120.8
Blue64
306131.5
497920.6
593421.3
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7961020401001201401609464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
44.51.2
32.6→33.8
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 13.0
3061
#6
31.50.2
28.0→28.2
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
Second
375
#32
25.21.5
24.4→25.8
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 3.9
5934
#39
21.35.4
21.3→15.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Third
2151
#11
20.81.7
16.9→18.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 0.2
4979
#44
20.60.2
18.3→18.6
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed