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Red105
465529.1
369528.4
17131.1
Blue158
173647.5
464529.4
245147.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64104050150200105158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#29
31.13.0
26.629.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End5.7
blue by 16.6
47.64.7
35.640.3
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
Second
4655
#24
29.13.0
23.126.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End4.4
blue by 18.4
47.54.7
36.441.1
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
Third
3695
#25
28.44.1
18.222.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
blue by 1.0
4645
#33
29.44.7
23.127.9
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned