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Qual 82016 Midwest Regional
Red122
584731.3
306726.8
206240.2
Blue86
512515.2
178123.1
37943.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958205015020012286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#8
40.22.1
36.2→38.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
blue by 3.2
379
#18
43.40.4
40.1→40.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
Second
5847
#10
31.31.9
29.2→31.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End4.3
red by 8.2
1781
#27
23.10.3
23.8→24.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
Third
3067
#38
26.82.1
25.3→27.5
Auto9.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 11.6
5125
#40
15.20.4
18.2→18.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed