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Qual 812016 Midwest Regional
Red51
478719.5
497920.6
178123.1
Blue96
424132.1
173921.0
465529.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66862040801001201405196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#27
23.11.1
24.2→23.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
blue by 8.9
4241
#15
32.10.7
31.9→32.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
4979
#44
20.61.4
22.0→20.6
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 8.5
4655
#24
29.10.7
29.3→30.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End4.4
Third
4787
#46
19.51.1
20.6→19.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 1.5
1739
#31
21.00.7
19.3→20.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed