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Qual 822016 Midwest Regional
Red74
306726.8
512515.2
213618.3
Blue19
270420.2
31109.5
185015.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605502040801001207419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#38
26.80.8
26.0→26.8
Auto9.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 6.6
2704
#22
20.22.3
22.5→20.2
Auto2.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
Second
2136
#48
18.31.0
17.2→18.3
Auto2.6
Teleop13.0
End2.7
red by 2.6
1850
#47
15.63.1
18.7→15.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Third
5125
#40
15.21.0
14.1→15.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
red by 5.7
3110
#52
9.53.1
12.6→9.5
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed