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Qual 832016 Midwest Regional
Red76
203927.6
464529.4
424712.3
Blue94
215120.8
432929.1
419123.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7367204060801001207694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4645
#33
29.40.1
30.7→30.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 0.3
4329
#9
29.11.9
27.1→29.0
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Second
2039
#13
27.60.1
27.2→27.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
red by 4.2
4191
#36
23.42.5
20.9→23.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Third
4247
#45
12.30.1
12.2→12.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 8.5
2151
#11
20.82.5
18.0→20.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned