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Qual 842016 Midwest Regional
Red89
10127.4
623723.7
306131.5
Blue124
162542.1
593421.3
245147.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81117406010014016018020089124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#6
31.50.3
32.6→32.9
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
blue by 16.1
2451
#4
47.61.1
45.7→46.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
Second
101
#19
27.40.5
26.9→27.4
Auto6.7
Teleop15.3
End5.4
blue by 14.7
1625
#7
42.11.1
42.4→43.4
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Third
6237
#26
23.70.5
24.3→24.8
Auto6.6
Teleop13.3
End3.8
red by 2.4
5934
#39
21.31.4
19.8→21.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed