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Qual 852016 Midwest Regional
Red75
29124.3
429623.5
173647.5
Blue112
409626.6
270918.0
414343.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10683406012014016075112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#1
47.51.6
48.3→46.7
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
red by 4.4
4143
#5
43.11.5
42.7→44.2
Auto12.6
Teleop25.0
End5.5
Second
291
#41
24.31.6
26.0→24.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.3
blue by 2.3
4096
#20
26.61.5
24.8→26.3
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End4.7
Third
4296
#50
23.51.6
25.2→23.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End3.2
red by 5.6
2709
#35
18.01.5
16.4→18.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed