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Final 12016 Central Illinois Regional
Red180
87644.5
248153.1
222024.8
Blue167
173636.4
175638.7
415624.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611780100160180200220180167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
53.10.4
52.1→52.5
Auto16.1
Teleop29.0
End8.1
red by 14.4
1756
#3
38.70.4
38.2→38.6
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
Second
876
#16
44.50.3
43.6→44.0
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 8.1
1736
#5
36.40.4
35.9→36.3
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Third
2220
#28
24.80.4
23.7→24.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
red by 0.1
4156
#30
24.80.4
24.3→24.6
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End4.4