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Red170
87644.5
248153.1
222024.8
Blue150
173636.4
175638.7
415624.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811880100140160180200220170150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.7
52.553.1
Auto16.1
Teleop29.0
End8.1
red by 14.4
38.70.2
38.638.7
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
Second
876
#16
44.50.5
44.044.5
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 8.1
36.40.2
36.336.4
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Third
2220
#28
24.80.7
24.224.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
red by 0.1
4156
#30
24.80.2
24.624.8
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End4.4