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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Central Illinois Regional
Red146
352831.7
162539.2
421225.2
Blue91
414337.5
464632.6
409623.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122117809010011013014015016014691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#4
39.20.1
40.2→40.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
red by 1.6
4143
#9
37.50.9
39.0→38.1
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
Second
3528
#7
31.70.0
32.6→32.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
blue by 0.9
4646
#6
32.60.9
34.0→33.2
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Third
4212
#18
25.20.0
26.2→26.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 1.9
4096
#25
23.30.9
24.7→23.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.6