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Semifinal 1-22016 Central Illinois Regional
Red122
87644.5
248153.1
222024.8
Blue113
352831.7
162539.2
421225.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150113100200122113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
53.10.8
52.9→52.1
Auto16.1
Teleop29.0
End8.1
red by 14.0
1625
#4
39.20.2
39.4→39.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
876
#16
44.50.7
44.3→43.6
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 12.8
3528
#7
31.70.2
31.9→31.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Third
2220
#28
24.80.8
24.5→23.7
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 0.4
4212
#18
25.20.2
25.4→25.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7