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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Central Illinois Regional
Red112
352831.7
162539.2
421225.2
Blue74
414337.5
464632.6
409623.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231148010014016011274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#4
39.20.6
40.3→39.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
red by 1.6
4143
#9
37.50.6
38.1→37.5
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
Second
3528
#7
31.70.5
32.6→32.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
blue by 0.9
4646
#6
32.60.6
33.2→32.6
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Third
4212
#18
25.20.5
26.2→25.7
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 1.9
4096
#25
23.30.6
23.8→23.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.6