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Red64
11132.6
402129.8
582223.9
Blue157
173636.4
175638.7
415624.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108123608010014016018064157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
32.60.7
33.633.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
blue by 6.1
38.70.4
38.138.5
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
Second
29.80.7
30.830.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End6.4
blue by 6.6
36.40.4
35.736.1
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Third
5822
#19
23.90.7
25.024.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.9
blue by 0.9
4156
#30
24.80.4
24.124.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End4.4