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Red79
11132.6
402129.8
582223.9
Blue110
173636.4
175638.7
415624.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105125608014016018079110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
32.60.4
33.032.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
blue by 6.1
38.70.2
38.538.2
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
Second
29.80.4
30.129.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End6.4
blue by 6.6
36.40.2
36.135.9
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Third
5822
#19
23.90.4
24.323.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.9
blue by 0.9
4156
#30
24.80.2
24.524.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End4.4