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Red68
11132.6
402129.8
582223.9
Blue90
216928.8
9328.2
465523.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109101801201401606890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
32.60.5
33.032.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
red by 3.7
2169
#12
28.80.4
30.029.6
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End2.4
Second
29.80.5
30.129.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 1.6
93
#10
28.20.3
29.128.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Third
5822
#19
23.90.5
24.323.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.9
red by 0.8
4655
#33
23.10.4
24.223.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2