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Red165
11132.6
402129.8
582223.9
Blue75
216928.8
9328.2
465523.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108101608012014016018016575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
32.60.8
32.433.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
red by 3.7
2169
#12
28.80.3
29.629.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End2.4
Second
29.80.8
29.630.4
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 1.6
93
#10
28.20.3
28.828.5
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Third
5822
#19
23.90.8
23.824.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.9
red by 0.8
4655
#33
23.10.3
23.923.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2