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Red48
103819.8
270414.1
109120.8
Blue81
478715.2
202222.3
11132.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5455455060657075804881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1091
#37
20.81.1
18.317.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End3.7
blue by 11.8
111
#24
32.63.0
22.625.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
Second
1038
#31
19.81.1
21.520.4
Auto1.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
blue by 2.5
2022
#17
22.33.0
16.419.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Third
2704
#36
14.11.1
13.012.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 1.2
4787
#40
15.23.0
14.617.6
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed