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Red70
415624.8
203918.5
582223.9
Blue81
464632.6
9328.2
431418.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48700204060801001207081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4156
#30
24.82.2
18.821.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End4.4
blue by 7.8
32.61.8
25.827.7
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Second
5822
#19
23.92.2
14.316.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.9
blue by 4.3
93
#10
28.21.2
24.125.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Third
2039
#34
18.52.2
16.618.9
Auto2.8
Teleop13.8
End1.9
red by 0.2
4314
#29
18.31.8
14.516.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed