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Red49
11132.6
173228.5
270414.1
Blue78
584729.2
222024.8
421225.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735301001504978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
32.62.7
26.924.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
red by 3.4
5847
#11
29.211.4
29.618.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Second
1732
#26
28.52.7
23.620.9
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End5.0
red by 3.3
4212
#18
25.22.6
21.524.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Third
2704
#36
14.12.7
17.915.2
Auto0.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 10.7
2220
#28
24.82.6
17.820.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed