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Red118
352831.7
464632.6
173636.4
Blue79
431418.3
109434.7
204024.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73705060809010011011879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.42.0
21.823.8
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
red by 1.7
1094
#14
34.70.9
31.932.8
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1
Second
32.62.0
21.323.3
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 8.3
2040
#22
24.21.2
20.721.9
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Third
31.71.5
27.128.5
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
red by 13.4
4314
#29
18.31.2
15.516.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed