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Red70
11132.6
235823.1
421327.5
Blue104
402129.8
173636.4
175638.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66985015070104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24
32.60.1
25.725.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.9
End3.2
blue by 6.1
38.71.5
34.836.3
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
Second
4213
#20
27.50.1
23.523.6
Auto9.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
blue by 8.9
36.41.5
30.632.1
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Third
2358
#32
23.10.1
19.819.9
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
blue by 6.6
29.81.5
24.826.4
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned