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Qual 312016 Central Illinois Regional
Red127
162539.2
582223.9
208136.5
Blue75
216928.8
544229.8
202222.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8278020406010012014016012775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#4
39.23.6
33.1→36.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
red by 9.4
5442
#15
29.80.2
28.8→28.6
Auto7.4
Teleop20.2
End2.2
Second
2081
#8
36.52.2
29.6→31.8
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End10.3
red by 7.7
2169
#12
28.80.2
28.5→28.3
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End2.4
Third
5822
#19
23.93.6
16.6→20.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.9
red by 1.6
2022
#17
22.30.2
19.5→19.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed