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Red69
178123.8
87644.5
409623.3
Blue95
175638.7
202222.3
248153.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010840601001201401601806995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#16
44.50.8
39.638.8
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
blue by 8.6
53.11.2
45.244.0
Auto16.1
Teleop29.0
End8.1
Second
1781
#21
23.81.4
19.317.9
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End1.4
blue by 15.0
38.71.2
36.335.1
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
Third
4096
#25
23.31.4
22.721.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.6
red by 1.0
2022
#17
22.31.2
19.318.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed