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Qual 382016 Central Illinois Regional
Red42
478715.2
8116.3
9328.2
Blue106
414337.5
464632.6
235823.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539002040608010012014016042106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#10
28.21.0
25.7→24.7
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End4.2
blue by 9.3
4143
#9
37.52.7
33.0→35.7
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
Second
81
#35
16.31.6
15.4→13.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 16.2
4646
#6
32.62.7
28.9→31.6
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Third
4787
#40
15.21.6
15.6→13.9
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 7.9
2358
#32
23.12.7
19.9→22.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed