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Qual 442016 Central Illinois Regional
Red110
429626.8
414337.5
584729.2
Blue86
173636.4
335223.3
178123.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846820406010012014011086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#9
37.52.9
35.7→38.5
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End3.4
red by 1.1
1736
#5
36.42.0
30.7→32.7
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Second
5847
#11
29.22.9
22.5→25.3
Auto7.3
Teleop18.5
End3.4
red by 5.4
1781
#21
23.82.0
17.9→19.9
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Third
4296
#13
26.82.9
21.1→24.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.7
End5.5
red by 3.5
3352
#27
23.32.0
19.8→21.7
Auto1.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned