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Qual 452016 Central Illinois Regional
Red86
421327.5
203918.5
175638.7
Blue62
464523.1
103819.8
544229.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85744060801001208662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#3
38.70.5
35.1→35.7
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
red by 8.9
5442
#15
29.81.3
27.2→25.9
Auto7.4
Teleop20.2
End2.2
Second
4213
#20
27.50.5
26.0→26.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 4.3
4645
#23
23.11.3
22.6→21.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
2039
#34
18.50.5
20.1→20.7
Auto2.8
Teleop13.8
End1.9
blue by 1.4
1038
#31
19.81.3
23.6→22.3
Auto1.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed