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Red57
222024.8
103819.8
202222.3
Blue100
173636.4
431418.3
216928.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648720408010012014057100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#28
24.80.9
21.921.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 11.6
36.41.4
32.734.1
Auto12.9
Teleop17.6
End5.9
Second
2022
#17
22.30.9
21.820.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.1
blue by 6.5
2169
#12
28.81.4
29.831.2
Auto8.3
Teleop18.1
End2.4
Third
1038
#31
19.80.9
22.321.4
Auto1.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 1.5
4314
#29
18.31.4
18.920.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed