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Qual 512016 Central Illinois Regional
Red86
421225.2
175638.7
465523.1
Blue94
9328.2
203918.5
352831.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907840601001201408694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#3
38.70.0
35.7→35.7
Auto11.7
Teleop22.1
End4.9
red by 7.0
3528
#7
31.70.4
31.1→31.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Second
4212
#18
25.20.0
27.2→27.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 3.0
93
#10
28.20.4
25.9→26.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End4.2
Third
4655
#33
23.10.0
22.8→22.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End3.2
red by 4.6
2039
#34
18.50.7
20.7→21.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed