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Red54
8116.3
109120.8
270910.1
Blue86
431418.3
402129.8
421327.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488502040601001201405486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1091
#37
20.80.8
24.023.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End3.7
blue by 9.0
29.80.4
30.230.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Second
81
#35
16.30.8
16.816.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.1
blue by 11.2
4213
#20
27.50.4
26.727.1
Auto9.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
Third
2709
#39
10.10.8
11.310.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.4
End0.3
blue by 8.1
4314
#29
18.30.4
20.320.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed