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Red29
109434.7
203918.5
55419.5
Blue105
415624.8
202222.3
87644.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72892040608010012014016029105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#14
34.72.9
37.034.1
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1
blue by 9.8
876
#16
44.51.4
40.942.3
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
Second
2039
#34
18.54.2
21.317.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.8
End1.9
blue by 6.3
4156
#30
24.82.0
22.424.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End4.4
Third
5541
#38
9.54.2
14.19.9
Auto1.2
Teleop8.8
End-0.4
blue by 12.8
2022
#17
22.32.0
20.922.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed