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Red109
162539.2
202222.3
421225.2
Blue90
270910.1
464632.6
584729.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977340608012014016010990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.6
40.840.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
red by 6.6
32.60.4
34.434.0
Auto10.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Second
4212
#18
25.20.5
26.726.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 4.0
5847
#11
29.20.3
29.429.0
Auto7.3
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
2022
#17
22.30.6
22.922.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.1
red by 12.2
2709
#39
10.10.4
10.510.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed