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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Central Illinois Regional
Red197
87644.5
248153.1
222024.8
Blue115
109434.7
584729.2
173228.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471076080120160180200220197115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
53.10.8
51.8→52.5
Auto16.1
Teleop29.0
End8.1
red by 18.4
1094
#14
34.70.2
34.6→34.4
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1
Second
876
#16
44.50.6
43.4→44.0
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 15.4
5847
#11
29.20.2
29.0→28.9
Auto7.3
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
2220
#28
24.80.8
23.5→24.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 3.6
1732
#26
28.50.2
28.3→28.1
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End5.0