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Semifinal 1-12016 Central Illinois Regional
Red145
87644.5
248153.1
222024.8
Blue92
352831.7
162539.2
421225.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011410020014592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
53.10.2
53.1→52.9
Auto16.1
Teleop29.0
End8.1
red by 14.0
1625
#4
39.20.3
39.7→39.4
Auto12.3
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
876
#16
44.50.2
44.5→44.3
Auto7.5
Teleop27.6
End9.5
red by 12.8
3528
#7
31.70.2
32.1→31.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Third
2220
#28
24.80.2
24.7→24.5
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.8
blue by 0.4
4212
#18
25.20.3
25.7→25.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End3.7