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Red192
86845.8
150152.9
44738.3
Blue64
314734.4
219734.6
548432.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20011310015025019264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.1
54.554.6
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
red by 18.4
2197
#11
34.60.9
35.434.5
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End12.1
Second
868
#3
45.80.1
47.447.5
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
red by 11.4
3147
#16
34.40.9
35.334.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
Third
447
#23
38.30.1
39.839.9
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
red by 5.9
5484
#18
32.30.9
33.232.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4