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Red112
314734.4
548432.3
172036.7
Blue125
150152.9
219734.6
458032.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104129406080120140160180112125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#22
36.70.1
36.837.0
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
blue by 16.2
52.90.2
54.354.5
Auto16.9
Teleop26.4
End9.6
Second
3147
#16
34.40.1
35.235.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End11.3
blue by 0.1
2197
#11
34.60.2
35.235.4
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End12.1
Third
5484
#18
32.30.1
33.133.2
Auto7.8
Teleop21.1
End3.4
blue by 0.1
4580
#20
32.40.2
32.232.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed73%Capture oddsEarned