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Red137
29238.8
102452.8
44738.3
Blue112
355931.7
498241.1
217134.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139107406080120160180200137112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.4
52.452.9
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
red by 11.6
4982
#12
41.10.2
41.341.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
Second
292
#13
38.80.4
38.739.1
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 3.9
34.90.2
34.935.2
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4
Third
447
#23
38.30.4
39.439.8
Auto10.7
Teleop23.0
End4.5
red by 6.5
3559
#25
31.70.2
32.632.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
86%Capture oddsEarned66%Capture oddsEarned