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Red101
317633.0
152936.8
601229.8
Blue77
86845.8
82928.4
174132.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100126608014016018010177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1529
#17
36.80.3
37.336.9
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
blue by 9.0
868
#3
45.83.1
50.547.4
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
Second
3176
#26
33.00.3
33.833.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4
red by 0.9
1741
#30
32.03.1
36.633.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
Third
6012
#27
29.80.3
30.129.8
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
red by 1.4
829
#19
28.43.1
31.528.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed85%Capture oddsMissed