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Red75
393633.0
394033.6
174741.8
Blue157
23445.1
410349.9
594431.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12112540608010014016018020075157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.82.9
45.142.2
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
blue by 8.1
49.92.4
47.650.0
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Second
3940
#10
33.62.9
36.934.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End5.6
blue by 11.5
234
#15
45.12.4
44.146.5
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
Third
3936
#31
33.02.9
35.833.0
Auto7.4
Teleop21.2
End4.3
red by 1.6
5944
#29
31.42.4
28.931.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsMissed96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
93%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsEarned