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Red139
23445.1
7141.5
174132.0
Blue145
46140.8
174741.8
317633.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165148050100200250139145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#15
45.10.1
45.245.1
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End6.2
red by 3.3
41.80.2
42.342.5
Auto14.1
Teleop23.4
End4.3
Second
71
#5
41.50.1
41.641.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.7
End13.4
red by 0.7
461
#8
40.80.2
41.341.5
Auto9.1
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Third
1741
#30
32.00.1
32.132.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End3.9
blue by 0.9
3176
#26
33.00.2
33.533.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.0
End8.4