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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Indiana State Championship
Red183
102452.8
410349.9
152936.8
Blue119
498241.1
394033.6
540337.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191153100200250183119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#6
52.80.2
52.9→52.7
Auto11.5
Teleop36.1
End5.1
red by 11.6
4982
#12
41.10.3
41.5→41.2
Auto10.5
Teleop25.8
End4.8
Second
4103
#2
49.90.2
50.0→49.9
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
red by 12.4
5403
#24
37.60.3
38.0→37.6
Auto9.5
Teleop23.4
End4.7
Third
1529
#17
36.80.2
36.9→36.8
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End4.7
red by 3.2
3940
#10
33.60.3
34.0→33.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.9
End5.6