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Quarterfinal 4-32016 Indiana State Championship
Red172
13548.5
4535.9
355931.7
Blue144
172036.7
217134.9
29238.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157156130140150160170180172144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#14
48.50.1
48.8→48.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
red by 9.6
292
#13
38.80.4
39.2→38.8
Auto11.8
Teleop21.5
End5.6
Second
45
#4
35.90.1
36.2→36.4
Auto8.7
Teleop23.4
End3.8
blue by 0.8
1720
#22
36.70.4
37.1→36.7
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End5.1
Third
3559
#25
31.70.1
32.1→32.2
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End4.1
blue by 3.2
2171
#9
34.90.4
35.3→34.9
Auto8.5
Teleop21.1
End5.4