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Qual 112016 Indiana State Championship
Red125
86845.8
594431.4
101827.9
Blue120
13548.5
601229.8
410349.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107112050150200250125120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#3
45.81.4
46.5→47.8
Auto15.0
Teleop27.6
End3.2
blue by 4.1
4103
#2
49.90.8
39.1→39.9
Auto10.7
Teleop28.4
End10.8
Second
5944
#29
31.41.4
28.5→29.8
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.5
blue by 17.1
135
#14
48.50.8
42.9→43.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.7
End9.0
Third
1018
#21
27.91.4
29.6→31.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.8
End3.9
blue by 1.9
6012
#27
29.80.8
26.2→27.0
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
75%Capture oddsEarned22%Capture oddsMissed